Thunderpig’s Mirror

Archive for January 10th, 2008

Burr and Orr to Speak in Henderson County on March 9th

Posted by Thunder Pig on January 10, 2008

Press Release

Henderson County GOP

The Henderson County Republican Party is very excited to announce that we will have United States Senator Richard Burr and Justice Bob Orr on hand as keynote speakers for our County Convention and Lincoln Day Lunch both of which will take place on March 8th at Apple Valley Middle School. Further details will come in February. Interested voters may visit http://www.hendersoncountygop.com to learn more.

Posted in GOP, Press Release | Leave a Comment »

Freedom Watch Afghanistan

Posted by Thunder Pig on January 10, 2008

Posted in Afghanistan, Military, video, World War IV | Leave a Comment »

New Rasmussen Poll for South Carolina, National Numbers Added

Posted by Thunder Pig on January 10, 2008

Crap! The McCain Surge has reached South Carolina…

  1. John McCain……27%
  2. Mike Huckabee..24%
  3. Mitt Romney…..16%
  4. Fred Thompson.12%
  5. Rudy Giuliani……6%
  6. Ron Paul…………5%

This telephone survey of 785 Likely Republican Primary Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports January 9, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

I’m guessing the bus loads of canvassers going to South Carolina from the local churches aren’t working to keep Schmuckerbie on top, unless the local American Legion has infiltrated the effort…now THAT would be funny!

**Update** 12.19pm The national numbers are in, and they aren’t pretty!

  1. Huckabee….22% (22)
  2. Romney……18% (19)
  3. McCain……..18% (19)
  4. Giuliani……..10% (9)
  5. Thomspon…10% (12)
  6. Ron Paul…….4% (no data reported)

Dems:

  1. Clinton…34%
  2. Obama…33%
  3. Edwards..15%

Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Roughly three-quarters of interviews for today’s update were conducted before results from New Hampshire were known. The next update is scheduled for Friday at 11:00 a.m. Each update includes approximately 750 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 600 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Posted in 2008, candidates, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, polls, Primaries, silliness | Leave a Comment »

Introducing the USS New York (LPD-21)

Posted by Thunder Pig on January 10, 2008

It is the fifth in a new class of warship – designed for missions that include special operations against terrorists. It will carry a crew of 360 sailors and 700 combat-ready Marines to be delivered ashore by helicopters and assault craft.

Later ships in the class will include USS Arlington, the location of the Pentagon, also struck by a hijacked jetliner on Sept. 11, and USS Somerset, named for the Pennsylvania county where United Flight 93 crashed after its passengers fought off hijackers apparently planning to attack another Washington target.

Steel from the World Trade Center was melted down in a foundry in Amite, LA to cast the ship’s bow section. When it was poured into the molds on Sept 9, 2003, ‘those big rough steelworkers treated it with total reverence,’ recalled Navy Capt. Kevin Wensing, who was there. ‘It was a spiritual moment for everybody there.’

Source: Doug Ross @ Journal
Related: USS New York Website


photo swiped from flicker site

Even more information is available at the San Antonio Class homepage.

I hope the commissioning event is captured on video, as I expect that would be a very moving ceremony.

To the crew of the USS NEW York, I wish them Good Hunting.

Posted in Military, Remembering 9/11, World War IV | Leave a Comment »

Keith Olbermann Caught Lying On Tape

Posted by Thunder Pig on January 10, 2008

Not that it will mean anything to lefties, who believe that the ends justify the means.

Hat Tip: Inside Cable News
Related: Olbermann Watch

Posted in Lies From The Left, video | Leave a Comment »

Did the Lancet Overestimate Iraqi Deaths?

Posted by Thunder Pig on January 10, 2008

I’ve been following this story as it has made it’s rounds over the last week, which has now been noticed at Danger Room:

Just before the elections in 2006, the Lancet estimated that 650,000 Iraqis had died in the conflict so far. The number was shocking — higher than US deaths in the Civil War and vastly higher than other estimates.

Now the National Journal has come out with a devastating critique of the Lancet’s report. Yes, surveying in a place like Iraq can be harrowing. But, according to authors Neil Munro and Carl Cannon (both of whom are pros) there was little supervision of the teams that did the initial investigation and a high probability that their findings were inaccurate. The surveyors also have not been willing to share their raw data or research forms, which raises suspicion.

I don’t buy right wing claims that the survey should be discredited just because it was partially funded by George Soros’s Open Society Institute. OSI does all sorts of great non-partisan work. But I do worry about one of the three authors, a critic of the war, declaring that he “wanted to get the survey out before the election, if at all possible.”

Posted in Corruption, Iraq, Lies From The Left | Leave a Comment »

Another One Bites The Dust…Richardson Is Out

Posted by Thunder Pig on January 10, 2008

Clintonista Bill Richardson is expected to announce his withdrawal from the race sometime today…

Posted in 2008, candidates | Leave a Comment »

Delegate Count After New Hampshire, and the Strength of the Two-Party System

Posted by Thunder Pig on January 10, 2008

**note** see bottom of post for challenge to these numbers. [TP 12.29pm]

Since we live in a Representative Republic, not a Democracy, the Electoral Process involves delegates who cast the votes for the candidates, and here is the running total according to Race 4 2008:

GOP:

  1. Mitt Romney…….24
  2. Mike Huckabee…14
  3. John McCain…….12
  4. Fred Thompson….8
  5. Ron Paul…………..4
  6. Duncan Hunter….1
  7. Rudy Giuliani…….1

So, once we look at the delegate count for the GOP Nomination, we can understand the type of lead that Romney has on the other GOP contenders. Just like in NASCAR of old (before the stupid “chase for the cup” was implemented and I quit watching and listening to the races), the process is set up to reward consistent finishes in a variety of venues and conditions, and endurance is rewarded. That is why Fred Thompson and Ron Paul have more delegates in proportion to the press coverage they receive, and why “Golden Boy” Giuliani receives more attention than he deserves…just like Earnhardt, Jr. The main difference being that Giuliani has held back on purpose, because he thought he could win by waiting until Florida to seriously campaign for votes, and Earnhardt, Jr hasn’t been sand bagging…he is performing as good as he’ll ever get.

And the Dems:

  1. Barack Obama….25
  2. Hillary Clinton…24
  3. John Edwards….18

The Democrat race is very close, with the top three still in contention for the lead this early in the process.

In both parties, the date of February 5th is very important. Something like 40% of the states will vote on that day, and the campaigns will be tested to their limits as they are forced to choose where their appearances will yield more potential delegates in the shortest amount of time. This is where the ground game becomes very important.

How well have the candidates planned and picked operatives? Is their Get Out The Vote network well-oiled, malfunctioning, or a lot of talk? Stay tuned as we journey along with the candidates for a potential brokered convention on both sides if GigaTuesday on February 5th doesn’t pick winners for the parties.

The Strength of the Parties

This is where the real strength of the two-party system becomes evident. Each of the parties have dedicated foot soldiers willing to donate thankless hours and resources into the party first, and the candidates of their choice second. All of the lesser parties are merely personality cults that function on the edge of civilization, like small tribes worshipping this or that minor personality. They have no real loyalty to the party, and will schism off to join another, or create another at the drop of a hat.

The ones with the best chance to form another party is that of the “followers” of Ron Paul. That is why I have studied them so intently, went to so many of their meetings, and tried to learn if they have a consistent ideology or belief system that could hold them together. I have concluded that they do not. Once their patron saint, Ron Paul, fades from the scene, they will fragment into their component groups of ineffective voices.

**note** These numbers have been challenged here, at ABC’s Political Punch Blog:

Huckabee – 31
Romney – 19
McCain – 7
Thompson – 3
Hunter – 1
Giuliani – 0
Paul – 0

According to my pal, ABC News’ John Berman, the count the Romney folks have is:

Romney – 15
McCain – 12
Thompson – 3
Huckabee – 2
Hunter – 1
Giuliani – 0
Paul – 0


Well, that appears clear as mud. So much for reporting on events before the dust is settled, eh?

Posted in 2008, america, Barack Obama, candidates, Idiot Ron Paul Supporters, Mitt Romney, Primaries, Ron Paul, US Constitution | Leave a Comment »