Thunderpig’s Mirror

Intrade Market Watch: Jan 3rd

Posted by Thunder Pig on January 3, 2008

Here are the current numbers from the popular Political Trading Market, Intrade:

GOP Iowa Caucus Winner:

  • Mike Huckabee…..65.2
  • Mitt Romney………36.0
  • John McCain………..0.9
  • Fred Thompson…..0.3

Democrat Iowa Caucus Winner:

  • Barack Obama……66.7
  • Hillary Clinton……25.9
  • John Edwards……..8.8

GOP Nominee for 2008:

  • John McCain….27.6
  • Rudy Giuliani…22.5
  • Mitt Romney….21.0
  • Mike Huckabee..11.9
  • Ron Paul………….7.5
  • Fred Thompson..3.0

Democrat Nominee for 2008

  • Hillary Clinton…..61.1
  • Barack Obama….32.2
  • John Edwards…….6.4
  • Al Gore……………….1.8

I thought it would be interesting to see what the numbers look like this time tomorrow after the Iowa Caucus results, and may track them on a weekly basis until the numbers gel.

Here are the numbers on the 2008 Presidential Election:

  • Hillary Clinton….40.0
  • Barack Obama….17.0
  • John McCain……..11.1
  • Rudy Giuliani…….10.0
  • Mitt Romney……….7.3
  • Mike Huckabee……4.5
  • John Edwards………4.0
  • Ron Paul………………3.4

You can find out more by exploring the website of Intrade.

People bet real money on this predictive market, so we’ll see how close it matches with reality, and how the numbers will shift as a political consensus is built through this meat grinder.

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