Thunderpig’s Mirror

Iowa Polling Update

Posted by Thunder Pig on January 1, 2008


Des Moines Register…..CNN/Opinion Research…….Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby

* Mike Huckabee 32% (29%)………..28……..29

* Mitt Romney 26% (24%)…………..31……..25

* John McCain 13% (7%)……………..10……12

* Ron Paul 9% (7%)…………………..8……….7

* Fred Thompson 9% (9%)………….13……….10

* Rudy Giuliani 5% (13%)…………..8………8

* Not sure/Uncommitted 4% (4%)

On the Democratic side, Barack Obama was the choice of 32 percent of likely Democratic caucus goers, up from 28 percent in the Register’s last poll in late November, while Hillary Clinton held steady at 25 percent and John Edwards was virtually unchanged at 24 percent.

Survey of 800 likely Republican caucus participants was conducted December 27-30. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 25-28 are in parentheses.

|DES MOINES REGISTER| Poll Watch: Des Moines Register GOP Iowa Caucus


By the end of the week, we will perhaps have a better understanding of how the field will be stacked, and hopefully, the Pauleroids will be punked by the Iowa Caucus goers.
On the Dem side, if the HildaBeast pulls out a win, it is over for the rest of the field.

**updated 11.59 am**
The CNN/Opinion Research Numbers are in, and I’ve added them in above in a second column.
The CNN numbers opposite trends for Huckles and Romney, and switch their postions at the top.
They show Fred with a nearly 50% increase recently, with the DMR showing him steady, and the polls reversed on McCain.
Ron Paul is at 9% in the DMR and 8% on CNN/ORP.

I’m thinking it is time for the networks to exclude anyone polling below 3rd place to keep the circus aspect down, or at the very least, anyone who is polling in single digits should be excluded.
I’m talking scientific polls, not internet polls where Pauleroids can skew the results.

I’ll have more on the Dem side later today. (Or maybe not)

This last poll by Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby has pretty much the same finishing order as the DMR Poll, and all the polls pretty much agree on the rest of the field.

My early prediction is that Duncan Hunter will withdraw within the next week or two if he doesn’t get a surprise bump. That is too bad, for I consider him one of only two real conservatives left in the race. I may have to crawl back on the Fred-wagon, even after his stupid comment about the flag.

My other prediction is that the Pauleroids will claim victory no matter where Paul finishes, and will whine that the cable news networks don’t have a split screen so they can watch Ron Paul from the time he gets up in the morning and jumps into his trousers with both legs at once until he reverses the process at night. The he falls into slumber while his little constitution nightlight provides a soft glow in the background.
/sarc

I hope that Julie Annie finishes behind Ron Paul, but am afraid that the Pauleroids would be too jazzed that their man didn’t finish dead last.
Wait, I forgot about Alan Keyes. He’ll finish last regardless.
I like some of what he says, and read his website often. I could support him as Veep just to see the anti-Christians gnaw their tongues off with hatred.

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